The Yellow River is becoming a reality.

  On April 17, the Yellow River Wetland in Sanmenxia, Henan Province at sunset, the water surface was clear, just like a mirror on the earth. Photo by Du Jie (People’s Vision)

  It’s really a wonder: the Yellow River water has become clear!

  Since mid-May, the hukou of the Yellow River, which is usually full of turbid waves, has turned into a clear waterfall from time to time, rushing down a steep cliff of more than 20 meters. Along the provinces (regions) of the Yellow River, the news that the Yellow River has become clear is constantly coming: from Hekou Town, Tuoketuo County, Inner Mongolia to Taohuayu, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, more than 1,200 kilometers of the middle reaches of the Yellow River, there are many scenes of "one river flowing eastward".

  According to geological expert Li Erong’s textual research, there are only 43 times of "Huang Heqing" recorded in history, and the longest time is 1727, which lasted for more than 20 days. Today’s "Huang Heqing" involves a wide range of river basins and lasts for a long time, which is rare in history.

  The "yellow" of the Yellow River is actually sediment. Ancient books contain: "The Yellow River fights water, and mud ranks seventh." According to the analysis of modern measured data, the average annual sediment transport in the main stream of the Yellow River is 1.6 billion tons, and the sediment concentration is 35 kilograms per cubic meter, which is the highest in the world.

  Where does the Yellow River sediment come from? 90% come from the Loess Plateau. The soil here is loose and easy to corrode and disperse. Whenever the rainstorm washes away, it loses a lot of soil and water and rushes into the Yellow River. The folk song "The next rain, peeling off a layer of skin, exhausted and hungry" is a portrayal of the barren and desolate loess plateau.

  "Long-term soil erosion has caused many places to become stony and sandy, with almost no soil, and the survival rate of trees is very low, which seriously affects the production and life of local people." Hao Yunfeng, deputy director of Yichuan County Forestry Bureau, Yan ‘an City, Shaanxi Province, said.

  The lost sediment makes the economic and social development of the Yellow River basin lag behind for a long time — — Five of the 14 concentrated contiguous destitute areas in China involve the Yellow River Basin.

  The fundamental change took place after the founding of New China. The Yellow River has been systematically treated for the first time, and "sand retreating from the river to clear it" is becoming a reality: according to estimates, in the past 20 years, the middle reaches of the Yellow River have intercepted and reduced more than 400 million tons of yellow sediment every year on average.

  How did New China do it?

  — — Returning farmland to forests, planting trees and realizing "green into sand and clear water"

  Ziwuling, located in the hinterland of the Loess Plateau, is an ecological barrier in Longdong area and is regarded as a sample for observing soil and water conservation in the Yellow River Basin. However, due to excessive logging, industrial development and other factors, Ziwuling lost 4,800 square kilometers of natural forests during the 40 years since the founding of New China.

  "When I was 11 years old, my father took me into the forest area for the first time. At that time, I felt that the trees were sparse, dusty and rainy." Lu Yanjing, Party Secretary of Songzuipu Forest Farm in Ziwuling Nature Reserve, Gansu Province, is a second-generation forest ranger. In his memory, since the implementation of the "Natural Forest Protection Project" in 1998, trees have been planted on a large scale in the forest area. At present, 60% of the 3.21 million mu of trees managed by the forest farm in the reserve are artificial forests.

  In 2013, Qingyang City, Gansu Province set a new goal: 1 million mu of afforestation every year, and in seven years, "recreate a Ziwuling!" Today, this goal has been basically achieved.

  Ordos City, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is located in the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River. According to the remote sensing survey in 1995, 80% of the city is suffering from soil erosion, and about 150 million tons of sediment flows into the Yellow River every year.

  The situation is grim, and the city has begun to return farmland to forests and grazing land on a large scale. Today, Ordos City has not only reduced the area of soil erosion by more than 50% compared with 1995, but also achieved a forest coverage rate of nearly 30%, making it a national forest city.

  — — Scientific management, multi-point policy, to achieve "blocking mud and collecting grain."

  Soil erosion is easy to destroy but difficult to control — — It takes 120 to 400 years to form 1 cm of soil, while it often takes only one year to lose 1 cm of topsoil. To preserve soil and water, we must follow the laws of nature and scientific methods.

  Suide Soil and Water Conservation Station of the Yellow River Conservancy Commission was founded in 1952, and carried out silt dam test and vegetation research in Shaanxi.

  Vegetation research is an extremely complicated work. Xindiangou Soil and Water Conservation Demonstration Park, which belongs to Suide Soil and Water Conservation Station, has been cultivating tree species for the soil on both sides of the Yellow River since 1953. Through the introduction of hundreds of fruit trees, the research and popularization of acacia slope protection forest and other tree species have made important contributions to greening barren hills and sandy land and planting cash crops.

  Over the past decades, more than 59,000 warping dams have been built on the Loess Plateau.

  "The Loess Plateau has hundreds of years of development history of warping dam construction, but the real rapid development is after the founding of New China." Bai Pingliang, director of Xindian test site, who has worked in soil and water conservation station for more than 30 years, said.

  The construction of warping dams has greatly reduced the amount of sediment flowing into the Yellow River. Take Wuding River, the main tributary of the Yellow River, as an example, from 1971— 1980 compared with 1952— In 1960, the sediment discharge decreased by 62.4%.

  Afforestation and grass planting, returning farmland to forests, and closed management … … With the implementation of various measures, the vegetation coverage rate on the Loess Plateau has increased from 32% in 1999 to 63% in 2018.

  — — Ecological poverty alleviation turns harm into benefit, and one battlefield wins two battles.

  Since 2000, Shanxi Province has been experimenting with returning farmland to forests in the Yellow River Basin, which has been combined with poverty alleviation through cooperative afforestation and management of poor people.

  Wang Mingzhen and his wife, poor households in Hamashen Village, Jiewangshi Township, Lan County, Lvliang, are the beneficiaries of this policy. In the new round of 115,000 mu of returning farmland to forest project in Lan County, the couple joined the local cooperative and engaged in the work of tending, planting, weeding and spraying seabuckthorn seedlings, with an annual income of about 35,000 yuan.

  As of 2018, Shanxi has completed a total of 27.303 million mu of returning farmland to forests, benefiting 1.53 million households with 5.47 million people.

  September 2019 is a day worth remembering in the history of Yellow River management. General Secretary of the Supreme Leader presided over the symposium on ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin. Since then, the ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin have become a major national strategy, and a new blueprint for the management of the Yellow River has been spread out:

  In the upper reaches, we will focus on the water conservation areas in the upper reaches of the Three Rivers, Qilian Mountains and Gannan Yellow River, and promote the implementation of a number of major ecological protection, restoration and construction projects to enhance the water conservation capacity; Focus on soil and water conservation and pollution control in the middle reaches; Do a good job in downstream protection, promote the health of river ecosystem and improve biodiversity.

  Entering a new era, the Jiuqu Yellow River is surging with a new wave, and the miracle of "sand retreating water" will continue to be created in the hands of the people of the Communist Party of China (CPC) and China.

Wearing armor in white is a common life.

  Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, April 24th Title: Wearing armor in white is a common life-a group image of medical staff in the global anti-epidemic battlefield

  Xinhua News Agency reporter Han Mo Shang Jing Yang Tianmu

  Historically, unknown viruses have often exposed lost face and attacked human beings. In the battle to protect life, there are such a group of people, who wear armor in white and go retrograde to devote themselves to protecting well-being and practice their mission with their lives.

  In the global battle against the COVID-19 epidemic, they rushed to the front line without hesitation. People may not know their names or even see their faces covered by protective gear, but their white coats, firm eyes and hard work will never be erased in people’s hearts.

  They have a common name-soldiers in white.

  Bravely go backwards to fight the plague demon.

  The epidemic is raging around the world, and the horn has already sounded. From new york to Daegu, from Melbourne to Harare, the global medical staff did not hesitate to act quickly and rushed to the battlefield against the epidemic.

  "My babies are too young to recognize me in protective clothing. If they lose me because of Covid-19, I hope they know that my mother tried her best for her work. " Griggs, a doctor in new york, USA, and her husband, both medical staff, left a will and began to work hard for several weeks.

(Xinhua all-media headlines and graphic interaction) (5) White armor is the whole life — — Group image of medical staff in the global anti-epidemic battlefield

  On April 11th, in a hospital in Bronx, new york, the medical staff took the patient to the hospital. Xinhua News Agency (photo by Guo Ke)

(Xinhua all-media headlines and graphic interaction) (17) White armor is the whole life — — Group image of medical staff in the global anti-epidemic battlefield

  On April 12th, members of the medical team of Peking Union Medical College Hospital and the medical staff of tongji hospital, Wuhan jointly transferred a critically ill patient from COVID-19 to the ICU of Sino-French New Town Campus in tongji hospital, Wuhan. In the process of transportation, ECMO (artificial membrane lung) treatment is still going on. Xinhua News Agency reporter Shen Bohan photo

  Although there are still eight months before graduation, Abby Kanagranger, a medical student at the University of Melbourne, Australia, has taken up her post ahead of schedule. "I mainly do some auxiliary work, such as answering the phone, tracking the test results, and some things within our ability. In short, it is to try our best to share their work pressure. "

  Like Kana Granger, many medical students all over the world start their careers in this special way.

  Doctors are kind, regardless of age.

  On the morning of March 16th, Klose, France. Roche Botai, a retired doctor, said a brief farewell to his wife. He will go to the local emergency center as a reinforcement volunteer to receive patients with infection symptoms. He decided to isolate himself in a separate room after work that day to ensure that his family was not infected.

  On April 1st, in the 17th arrondissement of Paris, the staff took samples from a medical worker who was tested by Covid-19. Xinhua News Agency (photo by Aurelian Morisal)

  If you ask Botai why, Roberta Terzi, a 66-year-old doctor of infectious diseases in Italy, may answer for him: "I will ask myself:’ Do you really want to retire? With my children and grandchildren, to support my life? Where would you rather be on such a spring day?’ My answer is always:’ I want to be here, beside these patients.’ "

  In late February, the epidemic situation in Daegu, South Korea deteriorated sharply. Since then, Dr. Quan Taiheng of Daegu Dongshan Hospital affiliated to Qiming University in South Korea has worked in the ward for 10 hours every day, 7 days a week, without taking turns. He has no time to meet his family, so he can only take time to communicate by phone or video. Quan Taiheng said: "What I say most is to ask them if everything is all right or’ I miss you’."

  On March 18th, at Dongshan Hospital of Qiming University in Daegu, South Korea, medical staff made a victory gesture to reporters. Xinhua News Agency (photo by Sang Ho Lee)

  In the bitter battle with the plague, the soldiers in white paid not only hard work, but even life.

  "We won’t stop," said stella, president of the Italian Varese Medical Association. "We should be careful and stick to it." When he said this, stella’s clinic had run out of masks and gloves, and his town of Busto Alsi Qi ‘ao was the hardest hit area. Soon, stella was unfortunately infected with respiratory failure, and his life was fixed at the age of 67.

  On April 12th, in Rome, the nurses in Santospirito Hospital wore protective equipment before entering COVID-19 ward. Xinhua News Agency (photo by Alberto Linglia)

  According to the report of the National Federation of Italian Doctors on April 22nd, there were 144 medical staff killed in Italy due to the epidemic. According to data from the Italian Institute of Advanced Health Research, the number of infections among medical staff in this country accounts for about one tenth of the country. Even so, there are still a large number of doctors and nurses who take the initiative to go to the epidemic area. After the Italian civil protection department announced the formation of a support team, more than 7,900 medical and health professionals signed up within 24 hours.

  On April 23, in Reading, England, the medical staff of the Royal Berkshire Hospital applauded outside the hospital. Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic, every Thursday night at 8 o’clock, the British people have applauded on the balcony, in front of the door or in front of the window to pay tribute to the medical staff. The medical staff in some hospitals also took time out of the hospital, thanking people for their support and applauding for themselves. Xinhua News Agency (photo by Tim Ireland)

  Infection, death, fear brought by Covid-19, not fade away, but soldiers in white armor still choose to move forward.

  "It is false to say that we are not afraid at all," said Cynthia Shatti, a nurse at Wilkins Hospital in Harare, Zimbabwe. "But this is a sacred profession, and public interests and professional ethics require us to stand up … We have no reason to retreat."

  Protect the boat of life with one heart

  In the face of the dangerous epidemic, the soldiers in white bravely rushed to kill and guarded the boat of human life. In ordinary families, they are also ordinary people with blood and tears, parents, children and husband and wife.

  On March 20th, Song Liqiang (middle), deputy director of the First Department of Critical Care Medicine, Wuhan Huoshenshan Hospital, escorted 81-year-old critically ill patients from COVID-19 for CT examination. In order to ensure that the patient has sufficient oxygen supply, the doctor Hu Shizhen pushes the oxygen bottle with him. Xinhua News Agency reporter Wang Yuguo photo

  On March 3, late at night, outside Jinyintan Hospital in Wuhan, China.

  In a car, Tu Shengjin and Cao Shan were leaning in the front and back rows, one reading a book, the other staring at the mobile phone, and they chatted from time to time.

  The couple have spent nearly 40 nights in the car. An 11-year-old son can only be given to the elderly.

  On the evening of February 22nd, Tu Shengjin (left) and Cao Shan were chatting in the car in Jinyintan Hospital. Xinhua News Agency reporter Xiong Qishe

  Tu Shengjin, 44, is the deputy chief physician of the intensive isolation ward of Jinyintan Hospital. Cao Shan, 40, is a nurse in different wards of the same hospital.

  On January 23, Wuhan closed the traffic outside the city, and soon the public transportation in the city stopped, so there were too many hospital employees who could not go home. In addition, the medical team who came to support it, the dormitory was full and the hotel room was tight. The couple made a decision: give the opportunity to other colleagues and sleep in the car by themselves.

  After a period of time, the hospital informed that the hotel room was vacant nearby, but Tu Shengjin decided to spend the night in the car. "The hotel has to drive to the hospital for more than ten minutes. When it comes to rescue, it is counted by seconds. With this time, it is possible to pull the patient back from the death line! "

  March 16th, French Oak Szitanyi Region.

  Aurelian and Stefani, doctors and couples who are about to leave, send their children to grandparents’ home.

  They are husband and wife and "comrades-in-arms". As a doctor, it is inevitable to have close contact with patients and face the risk of infection.

  "The first batch of COVID-19 patients admitted to the hospital immediately, we are likely to be infected. The child asked us when to pick him up, and we didn’t know. " They said.

  In the global anti-epidemic battlefield, it is countless Tu Shengjin, Cao Shan, Aurelian and Stefani who built a series of life berms with their flesh and blood, striving for more hope for patients.

  Photographs provided by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, Australia’s national scientific institution, on April 2nd showed that its scientists were conducting preclinical trials of candidate vaccines in Covid-19. Xinhua news agency

(Xinhua all-media headlines and graphic interaction) (10) White armor is the whole life — — Group image of medical staff in the global anti-epidemic battlefield

  On March 15th, a medical worker’s shirt was soaked with sweat at Dongshan Hospital of Daegu Qiming University in South Korea. Xinhua News Agency (photo by Sang Ho Lee)

  April 6, Jinan, Shandong, China.

  Zhang Jingjing, who returned from the battlefield in Hubei, will never see her beloved husband and dear children again.

  Zhang Jingjing is a nurse in charge of respiratory and critical care in Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, and she is also a member of the first batch of medical aid teams in Hubei Province. On March 21, she completed the task of supporting Hubei, and her isolation expired on April 5. At about 7 o’clock in the morning, she suddenly stopped her heart and died unfortunately. Her husband is now doing aid construction work in Sierra Leone thousands of miles away.

  "I wish to protect this prosperous China with our youth," she wrote when she was in Hubei.

  In every corner of the earth, those white soldiers who fought bravely against the virus are the light in the dark night, the lighthouse standing in the storm, and the indestructible "life number" in the stormy waves.

  On March 23rd, some medical staff from the First Hospital of Wuhan saw off the 14th batch of Guangdong medical aid teams in Hubei at Wuhan Tianhe Airport. During the 14th Guangdong medical aid team in Wuhan, the whole organization took over four intensive care units in the First Hospital of Wuhan, and formed a deep friendship with the local medical staff in the hospital. Xinhua News Agency reporter Chen Yuhua photo

  "Doctors have no boundaries" has great love.

  Visited 7 cities and 22 medical institutions, and held 15 exchange meetings and 9 lectures. This is travel itinerary after the China anti-epidemic medical expert group arrived in Serbia.

  During the three weeks in Serbia, the members of the expert group did not take a day off, and almost traveled to all the cities where the epidemic occurred. "Get up at six o’clock every morning, return to the station at seven or eight in the evening, and finish the report. Generally, you can’t rest until late at night." Long Qisui, a member of the expert group and the first-level director of the AIDS Prevention and Control Institute of the Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said.

  On March 28th, China in Belgrade, the capital of Serbia, went to the residence of the Serbian anti-epidemic medical expert group. The expert group member Long Qisui arranged and counted the materials to prepare for the protective equipment used the next day. This is the work that he must do every night. Xinhua News Agency (Photo courtesy of the expert group)

(Xinhua all-media headlines and graphic interaction) (7) White armor is the whole life — — Group image of medical staff in the global anti-epidemic battlefield

  On April 10th, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, Ethiopian Health Minister Leah tadesse had an online exchange with Chinese experts. On the same day, experts from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine and Ethiopian doctors exchanged experiences on prevention and treatment of COVID-19 online. Xinhua News Agency reporter Yin Xiaosheng photo

  Insist on "four mornings and four concentrations", strengthen source control, expand testing scope, build shelter hospitals, and pay close attention to returnees … China medical experts’ suggestions were quickly transformed into important decision-making references. The epidemic prevention situation in Serbia is steadily improving.

  From Africa to Latin America, from the Middle East to Southeast Asia, there are many "multinational doctors" like Long Qisui. So far, China has sent anti-epidemic medical experts to more than ten countries, including Iranian, Italian, Philippine, Russian and Ethiopian. They are not far from Wan Li, and they have traveled all over the world, devoted themselves to the great cause of the war and epidemic of all mankind, and conveyed the great love of "doctors have no boundaries".

  On April 11th, in Belgrade, the capital of Serbia, China visited an outpatient clinic in Belgrade, and praised the protection awareness of medical staff. Xinhua News Agency (Photo courtesy of China’s anti-epidemic medical expert group in Serbia)

  "Their working hours are not measured in days, but in minutes." Sosambo, an interpreter accompanying China to the Cambodian medical team, said that Dr. China has been working in a state of intense tension. In the hospital, the expert group pays attention to the process: from patient admission and triage to triage and specimen sampling, every link should be carefully studied to determine the operating rules; In the virus detection laboratory, the expert group attaches great importance to methods: explaining in detail how to use automatic nucleic acid extractor, sterilizer and other equipment; In airports, railway stations and industrial parks, the expert group emphasizes standards: strict implementation of epidemic prevention regulations and operational norms for health inspection procedures, seating arrangements, disinfection operations, etc.

  "Thanks a lot! Thank you, China’s relatives! Even if there is no good food, there is a song from my hometown for you and my relatives. " Knowing that the members of the expert group came from Guangxi, Cambodian people filled in new words in Cambodian with the melody of "Sister Liu" and gave them to white soldiers from China.

  On March 23rd, in Phnom Penh, Cambodia’s capital, Cambodian Health Minister Manbenheng (centre) greeted China’s anti-epidemic medical expert group at the airport. Xinhua News Agency reporter Mao Pengfei photo

  As a member of the medical aid team in Hubei Province, Pan Konghan, director of the Department of Critical Care Medicine in sir run run shaw hospital, immediately put himself into the next "battle" after returning to Zhejiang. This time, his battlefield is not a ward, but a conference room: an online video conference with the Rwandan health minister and doctors.

  Through the Internet, medical workers from different countries have opened up a new joint battlefield and built a "bridge of clouds" for transnational communication. Doctors from Union Hospital of Huazhong University of Science and Technology shared their diagnosis and treatment plans with their Sri Lankan counterparts, medical experts from west china hospital discussed the treatment of severe patients with Italian experts, and medical experts from Shanghai Center for Disease Control and Prevention introduced China’s experience to their South African counterparts in detail from nine aspects … Since the outbreak, China has held nearly 100 video conferences of health experts with more than 150 countries and regions.

(Xinhua all-media headlines and graphic interaction) (4) White armor is the whole life — — Group image of medical staff in the global anti-epidemic battlefield

  On April 22nd, in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, a medical expert group from China went to Malaysia to fight against epidemic diseases and made video connection with people from Chinese medicine circles all over Malaysia. Xinhua News Agency reporter Zhu Yushe

  Busy figure, fearless retrogression, efficient cooperation and sincere mutual assistance, Chinese and foreign medical workers show the moral responsibility of internationalism to the world, and also interpret the true meaning of the concept of community of human destiny. Robert kuhn, chairman of the American Kuhn Foundation, said that the vision of a community of human destiny urges us to take action for common interests, which meets the needs of this turbulent era.

  Tan Desai, Director-General of the World Health Organization, said: "The whole world is witnessing the important role of medical staff and their central role in the anti-epidemic process." Guarding life, the heart is the whole life. From the medical staff, more and more people read the power of unity and cooperation and understand the connotation of common destiny.

(Xinhua all-media headlines and graphic interaction) (11) White armor is the whole life — — Group image of medical staff in the global anti-epidemic battlefield

  On February 15th, in Munich, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General of the World Health Organization, delivered a speech at the 56th Munich Security Conference. Xinhua News Agency reporter Yuyang photo

  At this moment, the fighting continues. Towards the final victory, the global medical staff are still charging. Let’s pay tribute to the hero in the name of life! (Participating in reporters: Tang Ji, Geng Xuepeng, Hao Yalin, Guo Yang, Tian Ming, Zhang Yuliang, Mao Pengfei, Shi Zhongyu)

The central bank announced a rate cut! How much can the mortgage save?

On the morning of February 20th, the People’s Bank of China authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce that on February 20th, 2024, the quoted interest rate (LPR) in the loan market was: 3.45% for one-year LPR and 3.95% for five-year LPR. The 1-year LPR remains unchanged compared with the previous period, and the 5-year LPR is lowered by 25 basis points. This is also the largest interest rate cut since LPR linked to mortgage interest rate after the interest rate cut of 10 basis points in June last year.

The picture is from the website of China People’s Bank.

The reporter calculated an account, calculated according to the loan of 1 million yuan, the fixed number of years of 30 years, and the equal principal and interest. Without considering the situation of adding points, the downward adjustment of LPR for more than 5 years will save interest for buyers by more than 50,000 yuan; Average capital saved nearly 38,000 yuan in interest.

Repayment required before downward adjustment.

Repayment required after downward adjustment.

When will the interest rate cut red envelope land?

Property buyers can inquire about the loan repricing date.

When will the interest rate cut red envelope land? The first benefit of this interest rate cut is the new home buyers, who can immediately enjoy the loan interest rate after the interest rate cut.

However, for the stock of old buyers, it is necessary to wait until the loan repricing date.

If you enjoyed the red envelope of interest rate reduction in 2023 in the past January, it means that the repricing date of your loan is January 1. One million mortgages with 30-year commercial loans equal to the principal and interest, and the monthly payment will be reduced by about 60 yuan, which will save about 700 yuan in one year. This group that enjoyed interest rate cuts in January will begin to enjoy interest rate cuts in January 2025.

If the loan pricing date is the loan issuance date, and the loan issuance date is after February, it is expected to get the the Year of the Loong interest rate reduction red envelope in advance.

The interest rate cut has been expected in the market. In December 2023, national commercial banks lowered the deposit interest rate. Therefore, although MLF remained unchanged before, the mainstream view of market institutions still judged that the interest rate trend of LPR in February or independent of the flat MLF was lowered.

On February 18th, the Financial Times, which is in charge of the central bank, analyzed that in the next stage, the nominal interest rate and real interest rate, including LPR in February, are still expected to decline.

Source: Xinhua News Agency, Beijing Daily, China Fund, china securities journal Jiupai News Red Net, continue to slide to see the next one.

The central bank announced a rate cut! How much can the mortgage save? Weinan Youth Network Touch Read the Original Text

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Original title: "The central bank announced a rate cut! How much can the mortgage save? 》

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In addition to the weather, the price of apples that the Prime Minister is concerned about is also operating.

  Pork price has always been an important factor affecting CPI (Consumer Price Index), but now fresh fruit is also coming from behind. In April, the national consumer price rose by 2.5% year-on-year, and the price of fresh fruit rose by 11.9%, which affected the CPI increase by about 0.22 percentage points.

  This situation is also valued by the top management. A few days ago, Li Keqiang, Premier of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China visited Jinan. During the inspection, Li Keqiang stopped temporarily and walked into a fruit shop, asking about the price increase of fruits and the reasons, mainly about the price of apples.

  Yantai, Shandong Province is an important producing area of apples. Mr. Zhang of Yantai Apple Association recently told the First Financial Reporter that the price of apples is at the highest level in history, and there is still room for growth.

  From pork to apples, how long will the price increase in the food sector last? What role does capital play in it?

  The price increase will not last at a high level.

  Apple has reached the stage of "selling by itself".

  Zhang Chengping, the owner of the fruit shop that the Prime Minister stopped to inspect, told the local media that the current price increase of Apple is relatively large. "In the past two months, the purchase price has increased by nearly 3 yuan money compared with two months ago, and the increase has reached nearly half of the price of Apple." At the same time, the increase in Apple’s price has caused the sales volume to drop by about one-third. At present, the apples in Zhang Chengping’s shop are sold to 12 yuan for a catty.

  Because the caliber is inconsistent, the specific increase of Apple’s price is also difficult to unify. Mr. Sun, a contact of a local Taobao seller in Yantai, told the First Financial Reporter that the price of apples in 2019 was the highest in more than a decade, almost three times that in 2018, and the price of apples in 2018 was stable at around a catty in 3.4 yuan.

  "This round of increase started when Apple bought it at the end of October last year. Due to the freezing damage and reduction in production in the western producing areas, the purchase price of Apple opened higher and higher." Mr. Zhang of the Apple Association in Yantai told the First Financial Reporter, "In 2018, the production in the western producing areas will be reduced by about 50%. For example, in some areas of Shaanxi Province, the production will be reduced by 80%, and the production in the eastern producing areas will be reduced by about 25%. The imbalance between supply and demand is an important factor leading to the increase in apple prices. "

  "About 40% of the cold storage in Yantai has been out of stock, and the price of apples has increased by 45% from January to May." Regarding the future price trend, Mr. Zhang said that the current price of Apple should be the highest in history, and there is still room for growth in the short term. But in the longer term, it depends on supply and demand. "This year is Yantai Apple ‘ Danian ’ Judging from the amount of flowers and fruit setting rate this year, it will not reduce production, but it also depends on factors such as the weather in the later period. "

  In view of the soaring fruit prices, Liu Aihua, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics, also said at the recent press conference of the State Council Office that the short-term impact on fresh vegetables and fresh fruits is not sustainable due to the seasonal factors of extreme weather, so it can be predicted that the price increase of fresh vegetables and fresh fruits will not last at a high level.

  The Interest Chain of Apple Industry

  Whenever the price of a product "changes", people generally think of "middlemen earning the difference". Specifically, what is apple like?

  Take the fruit farmers as an example, although they have encountered a loss year, they are generally profitable. The local fruit farmers in Yantai told the First Financial Reporter that the net income per mu of fruit farmers this year was about 20,000 yuan, and last year it was about 13,000 yuan.

  How much does a catty of apples cost? According to local fruit farmers, the number of apples bagged in an acre of orchard is about 20,000 ~ 30,000, and the cost of each apple (bagging+pesticide application+fertilization) is 60 ~ 80 cents. The cost of a kilo of apples is about 1.3 yuan ~1.6 yuan, and the highest planting cost of apples in an acre is about 15,000 yuan.

  In terms of purchasing and storage, Mr. Zhang introduced that last year, the average price of first-class and second-class apples was from 3.5 yuan to 3.8 yuan per catty, and the current delivery price was from 7.5 yuan to 8 yuan per catty. In terms of the cost of cold storage, the cold storage fee is 0.25 yuan per catty, and it is not included in the packaging fee, labor fee and transportation fee. Apple’s general storage period is about half a year, and it is sold and shipped at the same time. The highest storage cost is per catty in 0.3 yuan.

  To sum up, the price of each link in Apple’s industrial chain is roughly the planting cost of 1.5 yuan per catty, and the buyer buys 3.5 yuan per catty and 7.5 yuan per catty, and the retail terminal is 12 yuan per catty according to the above-mentioned price of Zhangchengping Fruit Shop.

  Capital entry speculation

  Not only apples, but also "garlic madness" has come. According to the data of Jinxiang Garlic Industry Information Association in Jining, on May 21, 2018, the price of fresh garlic was 0.60 ~1.10 yuan per catty, but by May 21, 2019, the price of fresh garlic jumped to 2.20 ~2.40 yuan per catty.

  The reason of "garlic madness" is also due to the weather. Local people say that the low temperature this year has seriously affected the growth of garlic, so that garlic moss is too small to be pulled out by hand.

  Weather is the main reason for the change of supply and demand of most agricultural products, but will the change of output really have such a huge impact on the price?

  Take Apple as an example. Lin Guofa, the research director of Brick Agricultural Products Collection and Purchase Network, told the First Financial Reporter that behind the price increase, there is also capital speculation. Last year, the north suffered "the most serious freezing injury in 30 years" on a large scale, which led to the reduction of apple production by about 25%, the reduction of inventory and the increase of apple prices. At the same time, smart people "seize the opportunity" to enter the market for speculation.

  Shao Gang, the founder of D.D.D of Yantai Nancun Orchard, one of the top ten brands of apples in China, told the First Financial Reporter that it is normal and abnormal for the price of apples to go up this year. What’s normal is that last year’s apple production was affected by natural disasters, resulting in a shortage of supply in the market; What is abnormal is that, apart from the influence of supply and demand, the price of high-end apples has been rising year after year, and there is a capital factor. In recent years, the behavior of some fresh retailers to drive up prices and monopolize the market has disrupted the normal operation of the high-end apple market.

  Shao Gang believes that a substantial increase in the price of apples this year will correspondingly raise the expectations of fruit farmers for the apple market in the coming year. However, increasing the investment in apple production will also affect the relationship between supply and demand. If the price of apples falls in the coming year, the fruit farmers will be hurt. This is not a healthy market cycle, which is undoubtedly unfavorable to the long-term benign development of the Apple market.

  Both garlic and apples have a common feature, that is, they are relatively storable. This also provides the basic conditions for capital intervention. When some hot money of roasted seeds and nuts sees that the inventory of garlic, apples and so on is low, they will intervene in hoarding goods, thus further raising the prices of these agricultural products.

  (Intern Li Mengyao also contributed to this article)

Weekly box office: the word-of-mouth counterattack of "Annual Meeting" topped the summit, and "Golden Finger" broke 300 million.


Special feature of 1905 film network In the first week of 2024 (January 1-January 7), the film market continued to maintain a relatively high level under the blessing of the New Year’s Day file, and the weekly data finally closed at 970 million+. In the case of continuous word-of-mouth fermentation and counter-attack, the box office fell sharply in the next week, winning the weekly list with over 310 million yuan; The popularity of the same topic increased, with 169 million in the next week, and the cumulative box office exceeded 300 million. Ranked 3-5.


The annual meeting can’t stop! "Word of mouth box office double harvest" Bright Star "has poor stamina


The New Year’s Eve not only gave the mainland film market a good start in 2024, but also proved once again that good movies can always win audiences by word of mouth. After the fermentation of the previous release, the annual meeting can’t stop! "Successfully aligned the" granularity "with the majority of fans in the next week.


Because it is suitable for the characterization of migrant workers, relatively close to the workplace and not low-level jokes, and the "cool text" ending suitable for the New Year, the annual meeting can’t stop! The score of Douban platform has risen twice, and the fermentation of word of mouth is directly reflected in the box office, film arrangement and other data: compared with the previous week, the annual meeting can’t stop! The box office has successfully achieved a sharp decline, and the proportion of films has also increased from single digits to more than 20%. The weekly box office exceeded 310 million, and the cumulative box office has exceeded 550 million, and the forecast model data has reached 1.2 billion.


The Golden Finger also achieved the breakthrough of counterattack in the next week. As another "cool film" at the end of the year, the film recorded another 169 million in the first week of the new year, and the cumulative box office has reached more than 300 million, ranking second in the weekly list.


In contrast, the "New Year’s Eve" hit "Twinkle, Twinkle, Twinkle, Bright Stars" showed a slight lack of stamina after the ritual sense ebbed. In the past week, the film still had 100 million box office receipts, but all the data have a low tide trend. However, with the strong accumulation during the holiday, the box office of the film has reached 650 million. The old film "Three Battalions" still performed steadily despite the impact of a series of new films. At present, it is still among the top five in the weekly list, and the box office has successfully exceeded 600 million.


Week 2: Restore the Beauty of Plateau Jason Statham Tough Guy Anti-fraud


Although the popular schedule has just passed, there are also many good films coming in the new week. The film "Back to Tibet", which won the Golden Rooster Award of the 36th China Film, will truly restore the local customs and national culture of Tibet on the big screen. The starring actor will bring you a Hollywood version of the story of countering the fraud. I wonder if it can be better than "Put all your eggs in one basket" with the blessing of the tough guy.